They publish their targets.We check whether you’re one.

Before your vessel sails, know whether it matches a target the attackers have declared, with the evidence to prove what you knew.

Request a screening Read on

Since late 2023, the attackers in the Red Sea have been announcing which ships they consider targets. By email to shipping companies, through news agencies, in speeches.

The risk no longer depends only on where you sail. It depends on who you are.

Flag
A flag they have named.
Ownership
An owner or manager they target.
Port calls
A call at a port they have banned.
Fleet
Another ship in the same fleet calling at those ports.
Declared by the attacker

A statement by the attacker

“Vessels are banned from loading or discharging cargo at or from any Saudi ports.”

Humanitarian Operations Coordination Center (HOCC), SanaaEmail to shipping companies, 20 July 2026

Their sentence becomes a rule. Your voyage is checked against it.

  1. The ruleDeclared

    C1

    Any vessel that loads or discharges cargo at a Saudi port.

    Declared by
    HOCC, Sanaa
    Since
    20 July 2026
    Status
    In force
  2. Your voyage, point by point
    The sample voyage, each point checked against rule C1
    On the routeCargo handledSaudi portUnder C1
    Bab el-MandebPassing throughNoNoNo
    JeddahPort callYesYesYes
    Suez CanalPassing throughNoNoNo

    C1 applies only where both are yes.

  3. The outcome
    Outcome A: Declared target profile

    At Jeddah, the vessel loads or discharges cargo at a Saudi port. That is exactly what C1 describes.

    This is not a prediction of an attack.

    How the outcome is decided
Method

From statement to verdict.

Three steps, in the same order, for every vessel. Here each one is worked through for the sample voyage via Jeddah.

Three steps, in the same order, for every vessel.

  1. Collect the criteria

    A criterion describes which ships are targeted, or at higher risk. It comes from one of two places only: the attacker’s own statements, or an advisory from an official body.

    • C1Loads or discharges cargo at a Saudi portThe attacker’s statement of 20 July 2026Declared
    • C3Fleet makes port calls in Saudi ArabiaAdvisory from an official bodyOfficial
    • +8Eight more in force on 14 October 2026Each with its source and date

    Declared: the attacker said it. Official: an official body advises it. Uncertain: attributed to the attacker but not found in its own words; it counts as official. A withdrawn criterion no longer counts.

  2. Check six links

    The same six for every vessel. Each link either falls under a criterion, is not present, or could not be established.

    • L1FlagMaltaNot present
    • L2OperatorGreek operatorNot present
    • L3Owner and managerNot checkedUndetermined
    • L4Ports on this voyageJeddahC1 · Declared
    • L5Previous port callsNo Saudi port since 20 JulyNot present
    • L6Rest of the fleetThree group vessels called at JeddahC3 · Official

    Unchecked never counts as ‘not present’.

  3. One fixed rule decides

    Three questions, in this order. Each answer either gives the outcome or leads to the next question. No weighting and no AI in the verdict: the same findings always give the same outcome. Where a criterion has to be read, the dossier says how it was read.

    No weighting and no AI in the verdict: the same findings always give the same outcome. Where a criterion has to be read, the dossier says how it was read.

    1. Does any link fall under a declared criterion?This voyage: yes. Jeddah falls under C1.

      YesADeclared target profile

    2. Does any link fall under an official or uncertain criterion?

      YesBElevated profile

    3. Were all six links established?

      YesCNo known link
      NoDIncomplete

    No score, no probability. The outcome says which criterion applies, not whether an attack will come. With D, the dossier states what is missing and what it would change.

The dossier

One document. Every claim traceable.

Sample screening · illustrative vesselFW-SC-2026-0417 · Page 1 of 9
FOREWATCH INTELLIGENCEDeclared-target screening
Reference date
14 Oct 2026, 09:12 UTC
Theatre
Red Sea, Gulf of Aden
Method
Forewatch 1.0
Subject vessel
MV
IMO · Container ship · Malta flag
Voyage
Westbound: › Jeddah ›
Question
Does this vessel, on this voyage, fall under a Houthi target criterion in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden?
12 Oct, 11:05 UTCRequested
14 Oct, 09:12 UTCIssued
19 Oct, 18:00 UTCSails · watch ends
Voyage as scheduledPort under C1
A
Outcome Declared target profile

According to the schedule, the vessel calls at Jeddah on this voyage.8 Since 20 July 2026, the Houthis have banned loading and discharging cargo at Saudi ports. Vessels that do so, in the notice’s words, “may be subject to targeting in any location within the operational reach of the Yemeni Armed Forces”.3

This is not a prediction of an attack.

C1 · Declared
“Vessels are banned from loading or discharging cargo at or from any Saudi ports.”
HOCC, Sanaa · notice to shipping companies
20 July 2026, in force 12:01 GMT3
Link analysis6 links · 1 declared · 1 official · 1 undetermined
NumberLinkFindingStatus
L1FlagMalta7Not present
L2Operator (Greece)7Not present
L3Owner and managerNot checkedUndetermined
L4Ports on this voyageJeddah, per schedule8C1 · Declared
L5Previous port callsNo Saudi port since 20 July, per AIS9Not present
L6Rest of the fleetThree group vessels called at Jeddah10C3 · Official
What would change the outcome
  1. If the vessel omits Jeddah on this voyage, L4 falls away. The outcome becomes B, through L6.
  2. If the Houthis withdraw C1, the ban on Saudi ports, the outcome becomes B, through L6.

Eight cases, each worked through with the same rule, on page 7.

Fingerprint · SHA-2562eb0d760 f939f944 … 8566e394
Page 1 of 9
  1. The outcome first.On page one, explained in a sentence, together with what it is not.
  2. Every finding sourced.For every link, the criterion and the source, with dates.
  3. What would change it.Worked through with the same rule, so you know what the outcome rests on.
Sample

The full sample, nine pages.

A complete screening of an illustrative vessel, sent to your inbox.

  1. 01The outcome
  2. 02Subject and voyage
  3. 03The theatre
  4. 04Incidents and cover
  5. 05Criteria in force
  6. 06Link analysis
  7. 07The decision
  8. 08Watch and proof
  9. 09Sources and method
Eight more pages behind it.
  1. 02Subject and voyage
  2. 03The theatre
  3. 04Incidents and cover
  4. 05Criteria in force
  5. 06Link analysis
  6. 07The decision
  7. 08Watch and proof
  8. 09Sources and method
The full sample, nine pages.Every page of the screening above, sent to your inbox.

Evidence

Proof of what you knew, and when.

Refuse a voyage under a war-risk clause such as CONWARTIME, and the charterer may dispute it. Then one question decides: what did you know, and when?

Every dossier is sealed with a fingerprint of its record. The seal is printed on every page you receive and logged with the time, so neither side can change the dossier afterwards unnoticed.

2eb0d760 f939f944 ce4cb5a5 32aabed25acb2e16 617a68d9 518f5799 8566e394

Matches the logThe sample, FW-SC-2026-0417, version 1

Change any character, as if someone edited the dossier after the fact. The seal shows every bit that no longer matches the log.

Check a dossier of your own.Drop the PDF here or on the seal, or choose the file. It is read on your device; only its fingerprint is checked against the log.Choose the dossier’s PDF. It is read on your device; only its fingerprint is checked against the log.Check it on the verification page: by hand, or by its fingerprint.
The verification page
Doctrine

Six rules.
No exceptions.

  1. 01

    Criteria come only from the attacker or from an official body.

  2. 02

    The links are fixed. The same for every vessel.

  3. 03

    Unchecked is never ‘not present’.

  4. 04

    The strongest status counts. A withdrawn criterion does not.

  5. 05

    No weighting and no AI in the verdict. Where a criterion needs reading, the reading is written down.

  6. 06

    A screening holds as at its reference date.

Hindcast

Tested against what happened.

Since the Houthis declared their ban on 20 July, seven Saudi-linked ships have been attacked or claimed as hit. A screening the day before would have given every one of them outcome A. Four other attacks, on vessels at, off or bound for the government-held port of Mokha, fell outside every published criterion at the time: no screening would have flagged them as targets, and we say so.

  1. ENCELIA: outcome A, declared target profile
  2. LAYLA: outcome A, declared target profile, claimed only
  3. NCC MASA: outcome A, declared target profile
  4. NCC GHAZAL: outcome A, declared target profile
  5. FAIZE NOORE OLIYA: outcome D, incomplete
  6. NCC WAFA: outcome A, declared target profile, claimed only
  7. DAISY: outcome A, declared target profile
  8. MOKHA PORT: outcome D, incomplete
  9. TIHAMAH: outcome D, incomplete
  10. LANDING CRAFT: outcome D, incomplete
  11. AMZAN: outcome A, declared target profile

Under a criterion the Houthis declaredThe same, for a claim nothing confirmsIncomplete, under no criterion

Every incident, screened the day before
Theatres

Where who you are matters.

Some waters are dangerous for every ship. In these three, the attacker picks its targets and publishes how. We keep watch over all three.

A chart of Europe, Africa and Asia at night, from the Atlantic to India. The Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, the Strait of Hormuz and the Black Sea are lit red.
  • Red Sea and Gulf of Aden10 criteria in forceChecked 26 Oct 202612°35′N43°20′E
  • Strait of Hormuz13 criteria in forceChecked 26 Oct 202626°34′N26°34′N56°15′E
  • Black Sea10 criteria in forceChecked 26 Oct 202644°00′N35°00′E
A theatre is a stretch of sea where an attacker has published who it targets. It stays on this chart until every criterion there is withdrawn. The count is every criterion in force there, declared or official, as checked on 26 Oct 2026.
In practice

From request to dossier in 48 hours.

You send the vessel and the voyage. You get back the outcome, the evidence behind it, and word of anything that changes before departure. The first screening for your company is on us.

  1. RequestYou send the vessel and the voyage

    IMO number, ports and dates. Shared in confidence, and used for that screening only.

  2. Within 48 hoursThe dossier, as a PDF

    Every criterion in force, all six links. The outcome on page one, every finding sourced.

  3. Until departureWe keep watch

    If anything changes a link or the outcome before the vessel sails, you get a new version, with what changed and why.

  4. On recordEvery version logged

    Each dossier is fingerprinted when it is issued, so you can show what you knew, and when.

They decide who is a target. You decide whether to sail.

The first screening for your company is on us.

By requesting a screening, you accept our terms.